01
— The Pareto Principle
Capture the minority moves
A minority of cycle moves drive the majority of returns. Our job is to be in that minority during cycle inflections, not to participate in the noise between them.
We trade the cycle
Cycle Memo is your dedicated BTC cycle trader on Binance
Your BTC stays in your own Binance account. Our role is to time the cycle — and to deliver the maximum extractable return on BTC through 2030.
— The Method
Low frequency, Long horizon
Frequency
1-3 trades / year
Holding
180 days minimum · avg 6 mo - 3 yr
Instrument
BTC spot only
Direction
Long-only
Leverage
None · 1.0x
Decisions are anchored in technical structure read on daily and weekly timeframes — moving averages, MACD, RSI, and MA ribbon — interpreted in the context of macro cycle position rather than short-term price action.
We trade infrequently and hold long. We do not read 1-minute, 15-minute, or 60-minute charts. We do not rotate into altcoins. We do not use futures or leverage.
Operating as a Binance private spot copy trading account, the lead account is open to qualified copy traders from US$100k. Concierge memo service — direct dialogue, custom reviews, and bespoke reporting — is reserved for relationships of US$1M+.
— The Edge
Where the edge comes from
02
— Contrarian By Design
Lean against the crowd
Comfort is rarely where the asymmetry is. We hold positions through the discomfort that distinguishes cycle judgment from sentiment trading.
03
— Layer Discipline
Never blend the layers
Fundamentals, technicals, and news are independent layers — with a clear hierarchy. Technicals lead. Fundamentals rarely shift on cycle timeframes. News is auxiliary — and ignored when it diverges from the other two.
— Primary Signals
Moving Averages
Trend & cycle position
MACD
Momentum divergence
RSI
Extremes & exhaustion
MA Ribbon
Compression & expansion
— The Boundaries
What we will not do
x
No leverage
Spot only until 2029 · no BTC futures
x
No altcoins
BTC spot only · no ETH · no narratives
x
No intraday trading
Daily and weekly timeframes · no scalping